---
trigger: model_decision
description: "Analyses sprint delivery data and produces a structured retrospective brief. Use when asked to run a retrospective, analyse sprint data, prepare a retro brief, or turn sprint metrics into discussion prompts. Produces a data-grounded retrospective brief with completion stats, pattern analysis, Start/Stop/Continue prompts, and one concrete experiment for next sprint."
---

# Retrospective Analysis Skill

Generate a data-grounded retrospective brief that separates facts from feelings, so the team spends retro time on solutions rather than debating what happened.

## Required Inputs

Ask the user for these if not provided:
- **Sprint tickets: planned vs. completed**
- **Carry-over tickets and reasons** (if known)
- **Tickets reopened after closing** (quality signal)
- **Any incidents or unplanned work** (scope creep signal)
- **Sprint velocity vs. historical average** (trend context)

## Process
1. Calculate: completion rate, carry-over rate, unplanned work percentage
2. Identify patterns: which ticket types were most likely to carry over? Which caused blockers?
3. Note any process or communication breakdowns visible in the data
4. Prepare 3 "Start / Stop / Continue" prompts based on the data — not generic, specific to this sprint
5. Suggest 1 concrete experiment for the next sprint based on the biggest friction point
6. **Validate** — Confirm each prompt is specific to this sprint (not a recycled generic prompt), and that the recommended experiment is concrete and measurable

## Output Structure

### Sprint [Number] Retrospective Brief

**By the Numbers:**
- Planned: [n] tickets | Completed: [n] | Carry-over: [n] | Completion rate: [%]
- Unplanned work: [n] tickets ([%] of capacity)
- Velocity: [points] vs. [average] average

**What the Data Suggests:**
[2-3 observations grounded in the numbers above]

**Discussion Prompts:**
- Start: [specific prompt based on this sprint's data]
- Stop: [specific prompt based on this sprint's data]
- Continue: [specific prompt based on this sprint's data]

**Suggested Experiment for Next Sprint:**
[One concrete, testable process change — with a specific success metric]

## Quality Checks

- [ ] Each Start/Stop/Continue prompt names a specific behaviour, not a vague category
- [ ] The recommended experiment is testable in one sprint
- [ ] Carry-over analysis identifies the ticket type or cause, not just the count
- [ ] Data observations don't assign blame — they describe patterns
- [ ] Velocity trend is mentioned in context (is this a one-off or a pattern?)

## Anti-Patterns

- [ ] Do not assign blame to individuals in the retrospective brief — observations must describe patterns, not people
- [ ] Do not produce Start/Stop/Continue prompts that are vague categories — each must name a specific behaviour
- [ ] Do not recommend an experiment that cannot be completed within one sprint — small, testable experiments only
- [ ] Do not treat carry-over tickets as a velocity problem without first identifying the root cause category
- [ ] Do not run the same retrospective format every sprint — vary the format to prevent engagement fatigue
