Files
pm-claude-skills/exports/aider/pm-discovery/assumption-mapper/assumption-mapper.md
T
mohitagw15856 036511ab3e Windsurf + Aider targets, MCP server, and demo placement (#33)
Broadens both reach (more tools) and content types (an MCP server), continuing
the multi-platform story.

Windsurf + Aider:
- build-exports.mjs gains two platforms: exports/windsurf/*.md (workspace rules,
  trigger: model_decision) and exports/aider/*.md (conventions for `aider --read`).
  Now 5 platforms (ChatGPT, Gemini, Cursor, Windsurf, Aider).
- install.sh + bin/cli.mjs install both (windsurf -> .windsurf/rules, aider ->
  .aider/skills with a --read hint); generated README index is excluded from copies.
- One-line windsurf-install.sh / aider-install.sh wrappers for parity.

MCP server (new content type):
- mcp/server.mjs — zero-dependency stdio MCP server exposing list_skills,
  search_skills, get_skill. Published as a second bin (pm-claude-skills-mcp).
  Logs to stderr; reads bundled skills/ at startup. mcp/README.md documents
  client config.

Also: README hero "See it in action" demo placement (ready to swap in a GIF;
recording guide in web/docs-assets/README.md), Works-With table + exports +
install docs updated, CHANGELOG Unreleased. package.json files/bin updated.


Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_016JWn5jRD5tcEFKrubjQ6Px

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-17 23:15:38 +01:00

3.3 KiB
Raw Blame History

Assumption Mapper Skill

Surface and prioritize the untested assumptions embedded in any product plan before development begins.

Required Inputs

Ask the user for these if not provided:

  • Product brief, PRD, or concept description (even rough notes work)
  • Stage (concept / discovery / pre-build / post-launch — affects which assumptions matter most)

Process

  1. Read the provided brief, PRD, or concept description
  2. Extract assumptions across four categories:
    • Desirability (do users want this?)
    • Feasibility (can we build it?)
    • Viability (will it sustain the business?)
    • Usability (can users actually use it?)
  3. Score each assumption:
    • Confidence (1-5): How sure are we this is true?
    • Impact (1-5): How badly does the plan fail if this assumption is wrong?
    • Priority = Impact Confidence (higher = test first)
  4. Validate completeness — Ensure at least one assumption per category. If a category is empty, re-read the brief looking specifically for that type.
  5. Output a ranked list with recommended validation methods

Output Structure

Assumption Map: [Feature/Product Name]

Assumption Category Confidence Impact Priority Validation Method
[assumption] [type] [1-5] [1-5] [score] [method]

Critical Assumptions (Impact 4+ and Confidence 2 or below)

[Flagged items with detailed validation recommendations]

Top 3 Assumptions to Validate First

[Detailed recommendations including specific research method, estimated effort, and what the result would change]

Example (Partial)

Input: "We're building a self-serve onboarding flow to reduce time-to-value for SMB customers."

Assumption Category Confidence Impact Priority Validation Method
SMB users can complete onboarding without human help Usability 2 5 3 Unmoderated usability test (n=8)
Faster onboarding correlates with higher retention Viability 3 4 1 Cohort analysis of current onboarding times vs. 90-day retention
The current onboarding is the primary reason for slow time-to-value Desirability 2 4 2 User interviews with recent churned SMB accounts

Anti-Patterns

  • Do not only surface desirability assumptions — feasibility and viability assumptions are equally likely to kill a product and are often overlooked
  • Do not assign high confidence to an assumption just because it hasn't been challenged yet — absence of evidence is not evidence
  • Do not recommend "user interviews" as the validation method for every assumption — some assumptions require quantitative data, competitive analysis, or technical spikes
  • Do not list assumptions that cannot be tested — every assumption in the map must have a plausible validation method, or it should be flagged as unknowable and treated as a risk

Quality Checks

  • At least one assumption per category (Desirability, Feasibility, Viability, Usability)
  • All Impact 4+ / Confidence 2 assumptions flagged as CRITICAL
  • Each validation method is specific (not just "do research" — name the method and sample size)
  • Priority scores are consistent (Impact Confidence, higher = more urgent)